Fig. 1

Survival and healthy survival probability of men and women aged 40 years in 2015. Different line patterns indicate different scenarios as depicted in Table 1. At each age, the healthy survival probability indicates the probability of being alive and free of type 2 diabetes. Base case: \(i\) constant, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) − 2%; A: \(i\) constant, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) constant; B: \(i\) − 0.5%, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) − 2%; C: \(i\) + 0.5%, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) − 2%